Study finds over 60% inaccuracy in predicting out-group members' beliefs due to overconfidence.

A new study reveals that people overestimate their understanding of those with differing beliefs, known as "out-group" members. The research, conducted by the Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology, and Neuroscience at King's College London, found that participants were wrong in over 60% of predictions about out-group members' beliefs, despite being confident in their predictions. This overconfidence in understanding out-group members can lead to negative consequences, such as devaluing their lives and increased distrust and hostility. Feedback on the accuracy of predictions has shown potential for improving understanding across different groups.

August 28, 2024
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