Westpac predicts AUD/USD instability in 1-3 months with potential "volatility shocks" and a possible retest of 0.63-0.64 zone.
Westpac forecasts instability for the AUD/USD exchange rate in the next 1-3 months, with potential "volatility shocks" and a possible retest of the 0.63-0.64 zone. However, a significant rebound is expected when market stability returns. The Fed's need to cut in September contrasts with the RBA's surprisingly hawkish messaging, and the RBA's current lack of considering cuts has improved the AU-US yield spread. The AUD/USD exchange rate increased to 0.6575 due to the RBA's hawkish tone and higher-than-expected Chinese CPI inflation, but geopolitical tensions and weak Chinese demand may limit further growth.
August 12, 2024
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