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Australia faces 5.1% inflation and 0.16% GDP loss due to potential Middle East war.
A prolonged Middle East war could increase Australia's inflation by 5.1% and reduce GDP by 0.16%, according to new economic modeling.
Higher oil prices would drive up costs for energy, transport, and food, with freight costs rising sharply.
While Australia is better positioned than import-dependent neighbors due to its energy exports, the domestic refining sector remains vulnerable.
Policymakers face a difficult choice between managing inflation expectations and addressing the cost-of-living squeeze.
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Australia enfrenta una inflación del 5.1% y una pérdida del 0.16% del PIB debido a una posible guerra en el Medio Oriente.