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A 62% chance of El Niño forming in the Pacific this summer could trigger extreme global weather.
A 62% chance exists that El Niño will form in the Pacific between June and August 2026, according to NOAA, as La Niña ends and ocean temperatures rise.
If it develops, El Niño could bring extreme weather globally, including droughts, floods, and heatwaves, with a 15% to 22% chance of a "super El Niño" by November.
The event may boost global temperatures, affect hurricane activity, and disrupt regional weather patterns, though exact impacts depend on sustained warming.
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Un 62% de probabilidad de que se forme El Niño en el Pacífico este verano podría desencadenar un clima global extremo.