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flag A 62% chance of El Niño forming in the Pacific this summer could trigger extreme global weather.

flag A 62% chance exists that El Niño will form in the Pacific between June and August 2026, according to NOAA, as La Niña ends and ocean temperatures rise. flag If it develops, El Niño could bring extreme weather globally, including droughts, floods, and heatwaves, with a 15% to 22% chance of a "super El Niño" by November. flag The event may boost global temperatures, affect hurricane activity, and disrupt regional weather patterns, though exact impacts depend on sustained warming.

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