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flag Aaron Nola starts for Italy vs. Mexico in a must-win WBC game affecting both Italy’s and the U.S.’s advancement.

flag Aaron Nola, an American-born pitcher with Italian heritage, is set to start for Team Italy in the 2026 World Baseball Classic against Mexico, a pivotal game that could determine advancement for both Italy and Team USA. flag Italy’s 3-0 record puts them in a strong position, but a Mexican win by four or fewer runs would send Italy through due to a favorable run differential tiebreaker, potentially eliminating the U.S. despite a 3-1 record. flag Nola, pitching for the first time since March 4, showed improved velocity, reaching 93.9 mph on his fastball, and is expected to throw around 65 pitches in a high-pressure, playoff-like matchup. flag The game’s outcome hinges on both the result and run totals, making it a math-driven showdown.

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