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Fuel-importing nations face worsening economic risks due to slow energy transition and high oil prices, threatening their financial stability by 2035.
Atradius warns that rising economic risks face fuel-importing nations due to a slower-than-expected global energy transition, keeping oil and gas demand and prices high.
Geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East, are driving continued price volatility, with 63 countries—many emerging markets—spending over 4% of GDP on fuel imports.
Despite some energy efficiency gains, progress in renewables and electrification remains too slow to reduce dependence, threatening worsening current-account balances by 2035 for over half of these nations, particularly Tunisia, Pakistan, and Lebanon.
The firm urges urgent action, including boosting domestic renewables, expanding exports, improving competitiveness, and cutting non-energy imports to build resilience.
Las naciones importadoras de combustible se enfrentan a un empeoramiento de los riesgos económicos debido a la lenta transición energética y los altos precios del petróleo, lo que amenaza su estabilidad financiera para 2035.