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Lithuania warns Russia is expanding military presence near NATO, risking a Baltic conflict within 1–2 years if Ukraine ceasefire occurs.
Lithuania's intelligence warns Russia is expanding its military presence near NATO borders despite ongoing war in Ukraine, with potential for a limited Baltic conflict within one to two years if sanctions lift and a ceasefire occurs, or a larger NATO war in six to ten years.
Though Russia struggles to replace weapons and relies on China for some high-tech components, its defense industry has scaled up, especially in drones, and plans post-war modernization.
Units remain undermanned, but new divisions are forming, particularly in Kaliningrad, where electronic warfare poses risks.
Baltic nations remain alert, and NATO reaffirms its regional defense commitments.
Lituania advierte que Rusia está expandiendo su presencia militar cerca de la OTAN, arriesgando un conflicto en el Báltico dentro de 1-2 años si ocurre un alto el fuego en Ucrania.