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A strong El Niño is expected to drive hotter Indian summers in 2026, boosting demand for cooling appliances and potentially transforming the sector’s performance.
A strong El Niño is expected to cause hotter-than-normal summers across much of India in 2026, driving increased demand for air conditioners, coolers, and fans.
The India Meteorological Department forecasts above-average temperatures and more heatwave days, reversing a sluggish 2025 season marked by mild weather.
With air conditioner penetration still low at 8–10%, rising replacement purchases and expansion into smaller cities could boost sales.
Higher demand may improve pricing power, margins, and plant utilization, helping manufacturers offset rising input costs.
The report suggests the 2026 summer could mark a turning point for the cooling sector, with stronger earnings and industry-wide performance improvements.
Se espera que un fuerte El Niño impulse veranos indios más calurosos en 2026, aumentando la demanda de aparatos de refrigeración y potencialmente transformando el desempeño del sector.