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Indian IT growth slows amid tech transition, with U.S. spending lagging GDP, though recovery may come as new tech matures.
The Indian IT sector is projected to face moderated growth as it navigates a transitional phase in a new technology cycle, according to a Morgan Stanley report.
IT services spending in the U.S. is expected to grow more slowly relative to overall economic expansion, keeping the spending multiplier to U.S. GDP subdued, similar to past shifts like 2013–2017.
While historical trends show such periods are followed by stronger rebound, recent data indicates the multiplier remained around 2.2x since mid-2025.
Growth at top Indian IT firms has lagged broader sector exports, suggesting stronger momentum in Global Capability Centres compared to traditional providers.
The sector may see near-term headwinds before potential revival as the new technology cycle matures.
El crecimiento de TI de la India se ralentiza en medio de la transición tecnológica, con el gasto de EE.UU. rezagado en el PIB, aunque la recuperación puede llegar a medida que madura la nueva tecnología.