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Australia may redirect 100,000 tonnes of beef by 2026 due to China’s new 55% tariff on beef over a 205,000-tonne quota.
Australia may need to redirect up to 100,000 tonnes of beef—equivalent to about 800 million burgers—by 2026 due to new Chinese import rules that impose a 55% tariff on beef exceeding a 205,000-tonne annual quota. The measures, effective January 1, 2026, aim to protect China’s domestic industry and significantly impact Australian exports. Southeast Asia is emerging as a likely alternative market, while shifting volumes to Japan and South Korea may be difficult due to market constraints. Australia also faces growing competition from Brazil in the U.S. market. With domestic production expected to remain high, the industry is actively seeking new export destinations to offset the loss of Chinese demand.