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Mexico raises 2026 growth forecast to 1.6% amid strong demand, weak investment, and inflation expected to reach 3% by mid-2027.
Mexico's central bank raised its 2026 growth forecast to 1.6% from 1.1%, citing strong services sector performance and domestic demand, though investment remains weak due to trade uncertainty with the U.S. and a pending USMCA review.
Inflation is expected to reach 3% by mid-2027.
The OECD projects 1.4% growth in 2026 and 1.7% in 2027, with inflation easing to 3.6% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027.
The report urges fiscal reforms, improved public spending, digitalization, education upgrades, and climate adaptation to boost formal employment and meet clean energy goals.
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México eleva la previsión de crecimiento para 2026 al 1,6% en medio de una fuerte demanda, una inversión débil y una inflación que se espera alcance el 3% a mediados de 2027.