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Emerging economies grew faster than expected in 2025, with strong AI exports helping offset U.S. tariff impacts.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development reported that emerging economies under its coverage grew 3.4% in 2025, exceeding forecasts, with projected growth of 3.6% in 2026 and 3.7% in 2027.
Despite U.S. tariffs under former President Trump, the impact on growth was limited, partly due to trade rerouting and strong demand for AI-related exports from countries like Hungary, Poland, and the Czech Republic.
The EBRD noted that most trade data predates the April 2025 “Liberation Day” tariffs and a Supreme Court ruling that found Trump overstepped his authority.
Ongoing global uncertainty, including the war in Ukraine and rising defense spending, continues to hinder long-term investment, prompting calls for strategic public infrastructure spending.
Las economías emergentes crecieron más rápido de lo esperado en 2025, con fuertes exportaciones de IA ayudando a compensar los impactos arancelarios de los Estados Unidos.