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flag China's hardline actions toward Japan since 2025 have backfired, strengthening regional alliances and prompting calls for diplomatic restraint.

flag A 2026 report titled "Japan Forward" labels China’s recent policy toward Japan a "strategic blunder," citing a shift from managed rivalry to sustained coercion since late 2025. flag It notes over 356 days of daily Chinese coast guard activity near the disputed Senkaku Islands in 2025, hardened rhetoric, rejection of crisis management, and economic pressure on Japanese firms. flag The report argues this approach has backfired, deepening regional security ties across East and Southeast Asia, misreading Japan as a U.S. proxy rather than an independent actor, and fueling opposition to China’s conduct rather than its power. flag It urges a move toward restraint, predictability, and competitive coexistence.

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