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UK mortgage and business lending growth is slowing in 2026 due to high costs and weak demand, with a rebound expected by 2027.
UK mortgage and business lending are expected to slow in 2026 due to economic uncertainty, high borrowing costs, and weak demand, with mortgage lending growth falling to 2.5% from 3% in 2025 and business lending dropping to 3.5% from 6.9%.
Total bank lending is forecast to decline to 3.1% in 2026, but growth is projected to rebound in 2027 and 2028 as economic conditions improve, job markets strengthen, and confidence returns.
Default rates are expected to rise slightly but remain low.
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El crecimiento de los préstamos hipotecarios y comerciales del Reino Unido se está desacelerando en 2026 debido a los altos costos y la débil demanda, con un repunte esperado para 2027.