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flag Mid-decade redistricting, driven by President Trump, has made most 2026 House races uncompetitive, concentrating power in primaries with limited voter participation.

flag Fewer congressional races are expected to be competitive in the 2026 election, with experts citing mid-decade redistricting—largely driven by President Trump’s efforts—as a key factor. flag Redrawing district lines in states like Texas, California, and Florida has reduced the number of seats where voters can meaningfully influence outcomes, leaving fewer than 10% of House seats truly competitive. flag Most races are now decided in primaries, where participation is low and voters tend to be older, whiter, wealthier, and more ideologically extreme. flag In 2024, just 7% of voters elected 87% of House seats, highlighting a growing imbalance in electoral influence. flag Efforts to expand primary access to independents or adopt nonpartisan primaries in several states failed, leaving partisan gerrymandering unchecked and contributing to more polarized and less accountable representation.

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