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flag January 2026 inflation nears 3.8%, above target, influencing expectations for future rate hikes.

flag The first 2026 inflation data for January shows headline inflation near 3.8%, with some forecasts predicting a slight drop to 3.7%, while the trimmed mean rate holds steady at 3.3%, above the Reserve Bank’s 2% to 3% target. flag The release follows a February rate hike to 3.85%, sparking debate over whether further increases are likely. flag The end of the final energy rebate round may cause a temporary inflation rise, but economists, including NAB’s Taylor Nugent, say the overall impact will be limited. flag The data will help determine the central bank’s future monetary policy path.

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