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In California’s top-two primary, two Republicans are unlikely to advance due to Democratic-aligned groups’ efforts to ensure a competitive general election.
In California’s top-two primary system, a scenario where two Republicans advance to the general election is considered highly unlikely due to the strong influence of Democratic-aligned institutions, particularly public employee unions, which spend hundreds of millions annually to prevent a Republican-only general.
Despite recent polls showing Republican candidates Chad Bianco and Steve Hilton in a tight race, and Democratic candidates Eric Swalwell and Katie Porter trailing, experts say coordinated efforts by well-funded groups make a two-Republican outcome improbable.
These institutions are expected to consolidate support behind a single Democrat or a more manageable Republican to ensure a competitive race, reinforcing Democratic dominance in the state’s political landscape.
En las dos principales primarias de California, es poco probable que dos republicanos avancen debido a los esfuerzos de los grupos alineados con los demócratas para garantizar una elección general competitiva.