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The OECD advises the BSP to manage inflation expectations and cut rates in Feb 2026 amid weak growth, despite stable inflation.
The OECD urges the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas to better manage inflation expectations, especially during supply shocks, recommending a focus on core inflation and avoiding rate hikes during temporary spikes.
With headline inflation at 2% in January—within the 2%-4% target—the BSP is expected to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.25% in February 2026 to support sluggish growth, driven by weak GDP and demand.
The central bank plans monthly consumer and business expectations surveys to improve forecasting.
However, incomplete transmission of rate changes to lending persists due to weak funding pass-through and high credit risk, prompting OECD recommendations to strengthen the repo market, expand credit data, and reduce reserve requirements.
La OCDE aconseja al BSP que gestione las expectativas de inflación y recorte las tasas en febrero de 2026 en medio de un crecimiento débil, a pesar de una inflación estable.