National and Labour each lost ground in a Nov 2025 poll, with Green Party gaining; Luxon and Hipkins tied at 20% in PM approval.

A new 1News Verian poll from November 29 to December 3, 2025, shows New Zealand’s National and Labour parties each lost ground, falling to 34% and 32% respectively, while the Green Party rose to 11%. New Zealand First, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori each gained 1 point, reaching 10%, 9%, and 2%. The right bloc would hold 65 seats and the left bloc 59, indicating stable coalition prospects. Christopher Luxon and Chris Hipkins are tied at 20% in preferred Prime Minister ratings, with Luxon down 3 points. Voter satisfaction with leadership averaged 5 out of 10, and economic optimism dropped to 40% amid rising pessimism. The poll surveyed 1,007 eligible voters with a margin of error of ±3.1% at 95% confidence.