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flag James Talarico leads Jasmine Crockett in Texas' Democratic Senate primary, with Ken Paxton narrowly ahead of John Cornyn in the Republican race.

flag A new Emerson College/Nexstar Media poll released January 15, 2026, shows Texas Democratic Senate primary candidate James Talarico leading Jasmine Crockett by nine points, 47% to 38%, with 15% undecided ahead of the March 2 primary. flag Talarico leads among men, white, and Hispanic voters, while Crockett holds strong support among Black voters. flag On the Republican side, Attorney General Ken Paxton leads incumbent Senator John Cornyn 27% to 26%, with Rep. Wesley Hunt at 16%, and 29% undecided. flag In hypothetical general elections, Cornyn and Hunt outpace both Democrats, while Paxton ties with each. flag Governor Greg Abbott leads Democrat Gina Hinojosa 50% to 42% in the race for a fourth term. flag The economy remains the top voter concern at 28%, followed by threats to democracy at 17%. flag President Trump’s approval rating in Texas dropped to a 2-point net advantage.

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