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James Talarico leads Jasmine Crockett in Texas' Democratic Senate primary, with Ken Paxton narrowly ahead of John Cornyn in the Republican race.
A new Emerson College/Nexstar Media poll released January 15, 2026, shows Texas Democratic Senate primary candidate James Talarico leading Jasmine Crockett by nine points, 47% to 38%, with 15% undecided ahead of the March 2 primary.
Talarico leads among men, white, and Hispanic voters, while Crockett holds strong support among Black voters.
On the Republican side, Attorney General Ken Paxton leads incumbent Senator John Cornyn 27% to 26%, with Rep. Wesley Hunt at 16%, and 29% undecided.
In hypothetical general elections, Cornyn and Hunt outpace both Democrats, while Paxton ties with each.
Governor Greg Abbott leads Democrat Gina Hinojosa 50% to 42% in the race for a fourth term.
The economy remains the top voter concern at 28%, followed by threats to democracy at 17%.
President Trump’s approval rating in Texas dropped to a 2-point net advantage.
James Talarico lidera a Jasmine Crockett en las primarias demócratas para el Senado de Texas, con Ken Paxton por delante de John Cornyn en la carrera republicana.