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flag U.S. inflation rose 0.3% in December due to higher food and energy costs, with core inflation also up 0.3%, while Fed rate cuts remain uncertain amid political tensions.

flag U.S. consumer prices likely rose 0.3% in December, driven by higher food and energy costs, particularly electricity, as data collection resumed after a 43-day government shutdown that had suppressed November’s inflation. flag The 12-month CPI is forecast at 2.6%–2.7%, with core inflation also rising 0.3% monthly. flag Shelter inflation remains artificially low due to a carry-forward method used during the shutdown, which will distort comparisons through April 2026. flag Despite tepid job growth, unemployment dipped, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% in January. flag Political tensions between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell persist, with Powell calling a DOJ investigation a political move, raising concerns over Fed independence and potential economic instability.

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