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India's inflation slowed to 2.6% in Q4FY26, below forecasts, raising hopes for rate cuts in 2026.
Indian consumer inflation for Q4FY26 is projected at 2.6%, below the RBI's forecast of 2.9%, according to Union Bank of India.
The bank expects a potential 25 basis point rate cut in February or April 2026, possibly lowering the repo rate to 5.0%.
Inflation in December 2025 rose to 1.33% from 0.71% in November, exceeding 1% for the first time in months but remaining under 2% for the fourth consecutive month.
January 2026 inflation is tracking around 2.3%, with the new base year's impact under scrutiny.
Risks to inflation include global commodity prices, domestic food prices, and weather conditions.
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La inflación de la India se desaceleró a 2.6% en el cuarto trimestre del año fiscal 26, por debajo de las previsiones, lo que aumenta las esperanzas de recortes de tasas en 2026.