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Ireland’s economy faces recession risk due to unstable U.S. corporate tax reliance, economists warn.
Ireland’s 2026 economic outlook remains fragile due to heavy reliance on corporate tax revenues from U.S. multinationals, economists warn.
Sudden global shifts—such as geopolitical tensions, policy changes, or corporate restructuring—could quickly reduce tax inflows, threatening public finances.
Despite projected growth, experts stress that windfall revenues are volatile and unsustainable, urging the government to save excess income in a sovereign wealth fund like Norway’s.
Without diversification, the economy faces heightened risk of recession amid rising household costs and external shocks.
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La economía de Irlanda se enfrenta al riesgo de recesión debido a la inestable dependencia del impuesto corporativo estadounidense, advierten los economistas.