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$63 billion in US corporate bonds now risk junk status due to high debt and spending, up from $37 billion in 2024.
A growing number of US corporate bonds—$63 billion, up from $37 billion in 2024—are at risk of being downgraded to junk status, according to JPMorgan Chase, driven by rising debt costs, heavy AI and acquisition spending, and increasing leverage.
While credit spreads remain low and investor demand strong, the share of BBB- rated bonds in investment-grade indexes has hit a record low of 7.7%, reducing the buffer against downgrades.
In 2025, $55 billion in bonds fell to junk—far surpassing the $10 billion of upgrades—highlighting deteriorating credit quality.
Some investors are cutting exposure to highly leveraged firms, and while no immediate crisis is expected, ongoing pressure from high debt levels and corporate spending may continue to strain the market in 2026.
$ 63 mil millones en bonos corporativos estadounidenses ahora arriesgan el estatus de basura debido a la alta deuda y el gasto, frente a $ 37 mil millones en 2024.