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flag Rwandan forces and M23 seized Uvira near Burundi’s border, triggering political turmoil and deepening regional crises.

flag In early 2026, Burundi faces escalating regional instability after Rwandan forces and the M23 militia captured Uvira, just five kilometers from its border, marking a major military setback for Burundian troops supporting the Democratic Republic of Congo. flag The defeat triggered internal political tension, with President Ndayishimiye reprimanding his Foreign Minister. flag Meanwhile, UN experts confirmed Rwanda and M23 are establishing administrative and security structures in eastern DRC, effectively replacing state functions. flag Despite U.S. and Qatari mediation efforts, no binding agreements exist, and the humanitarian crisis deepens. flag In the Sahel, Niger declared national mobilization amid rising jihadist violence, joining Burkina Faso in a sweeping military response. flag Sudan’s war, now more communal and complex, continues to devastate civilians and infrastructure, with no clear peace path. flag Ethiopia’s military constraints limit its ability to act against Eritrea, while Rwanda maintains strong economic growth and funds its eastern Congo operations through off-budget means, balancing regional influence with fiscal stability.

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