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Mexico saw a 40% homicide drop from Sept 2024 to Dec 2025, reaching its lowest rate since 2016, but data reliability remains uncertain.
Mexico reported a 40% drop in homicides from September 2024 to December 2025, with the national rate falling to 17.5 per 100,000—its lowest since 2016—under President Claudia Sheinbaum’s new security strategy focused on interagency coordination and intelligence.
While officials credit improved law enforcement and collaboration, analysts warn the data is incomplete, as definitive statistics from Mexico’s National Statistics Institute have not yet been released.
Concerns remain over underreporting, rising disappearances exceeding 133,000, and the possibility that violence has shifted rather than declined, particularly in key states like Sinaloa, Michoacán, Jalisco, and Guanajuato.
México registró una caída del 40% en los homicidios desde septiembre de 2024 hasta diciembre de 2025, alcanzando su tasa más baja desde 2016, pero la fiabilidad de los datos sigue siendo incierta.