Mexico maintains steady oil shipments to Cuba amid regional turmoil, but exports remain at historical levels despite energy crises.

Following the U.S.-led capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Mexico has increased its shipments of crude oil and refined products to Cuba amid regional unrest. However, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum stated that exports are still at historical levels, carried out through contracts or humanitarian aid. From January to September 2025, shipments averaged roughly 19,200 barrels per day, reaching a peak of almost 22,000 before falling to 7,000 following a U.S. visit by the Secretary of State, with no sign of further increases. As Cuba becomes less dependent on Venezuela, fuel shortages, blackouts, and energy shortages get worse. Pemex's diminishing output and U.S. Despite continued humanitarian assistance, pressure restricts Mexico's capacity to increase deliveries.