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flag Tesla forecasts 15% drop in Q4 vehicle deliveries, citing tax credit expiration, competition, and no new models.

flag With an estimated 423,000 vehicles delivered in the fourth quarter, Tesla anticipates a 15% year-over-year decline in sales—the second year in a row. flag The U.S. federal EV tax credit's expiration, heightened international competition, and a dearth of new car models are all blamed for the decline. flag Investor confidence in Tesla's long-term goals in robotaxis, artificial intelligence, and humanoid robots has propelled the company's stock up more than 14% in 2025 despite declining deliveries. flag In a rare move that indicates increased scrutiny, the company posted forecasts derived from analysts on its investor relations website. flag Analysts predict 1.64 million deliveries in 2025, an 8% decrease from 2024. flag A rebound is anticipated in 2026 as more affordable Model 3 and Model Y models become popular.

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