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Tesla forecasts 15% drop in Q4 vehicle deliveries, citing tax credit expiration, competition, and no new models.
Tesla expects a 15% year-over-year decline in fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries, projecting around 423,000 units, marking the second consecutive annual drop in sales.
The downturn is attributed to the expiration of the U.S. federal EV tax credit, increased global competition, and a lack of new vehicle models.
Despite declining deliveries, Tesla's stock has risen over 14% in 2025, driven by investor confidence in its long-term ambitions in robotaxis, artificial intelligence, and humanoid robots.
The company has shared analyst-derived forecasts on its investor relations site, a rare move signaling heightened scrutiny.
Analysts project 1.64 million deliveries for 2025, down 8% from 2024, with a recovery expected in 2026 as lower-cost Model 3 and Model Y variants gain traction.
Tesla pronostica una caída del 15% en las entregas de vehículos del cuarto trimestre, citando la expiración del crédito fiscal, la competencia y la ausencia de nuevos modelos.