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flag U.S. murder rates are on track for a record drop in 2025, with a nearly 20% decline through October.

flag In 2025, U.S. murder rates are on track for a record-breaking decline, with preliminary data from the Real-Time Crime Index showing a nearly 20% drop in homicides through October compared to the same period in 2024, marking the largest one-year decrease in history. flag The data, based on reports from 570 law enforcement agencies, also shows significant declines in aggravated assaults, carjackings, and auto thefts. flag The Trump administration attributes the trend to its tough-on-crime policies, including immigration enforcement and increased law enforcement presence in major cities. flag While federal officials have not yet confirmed the figures, analysts note the RTCI’s past estimates have closely matched final FBI data. flag Final statistics will be released in 2026.

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