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flag Over 40–50 House Republicans may retire in 2026, risking leadership instability amid post-Trump uncertainty.

flag Republican strategist Alex Conant said over 40 to 50 House members may not seek re-election in 2026, with retirements possibly rising if a government shutdown occurs. flag He expressed confidence that Mike Johnson will remain speaker despite internal party tensions and a narrow majority, citing a lack of viable alternatives. flag Conant highlighted growing GOP dissatisfaction as former President Trump nears the end of his term, noting that his influence has not translated to success for other candidates. flag While JD Vance is a possible leader, Conant stressed that no clear successor has emerged, and the party’s future direction and coalition remain uncertain as it navigates a post-Trump era.

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