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flag A Tokyo earthquake could kill up to 18,000 people and cause $570 billion in damage, with a 70% chance in 30 years.

flag A Japanese government panel estimates a magnitude 7.3 earthquake beneath Tokyo could cause up to 18,000 deaths and 83 trillion yen in economic damage, with a 70% chance of such a quake occurring within 30 years. flag The revised figure is lower than the 2013 estimate due to improved building standards and fire prevention. flag Most fatalities would result from fires, with additional deaths from indirect causes like power outages and evacuation stress. flag The report highlights ongoing risks from urban density, social changes, and misinformation, prompting updated disaster preparedness plans.

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