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flag New Zealand’s coalition government faces instability due to internal divisions, though it remains likely to finish its term with strong polling support.

flag New Zealand’s political stability has deteriorated, with global firm BMI raising its political risk score to 18.3 in November 2025 due to growing strain within Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s coalition government. flag Internal divisions over policies like the Regulatory Standards Act and Treaty debates have fueled instability, though BMI expects the coalition to complete its term. flag A December 8, 2025, 1News Verian poll shows the right-wing coalition maintaining strong support, with National at 36%, ACT at 10%, and New Zealand First at 9%, while Labour gained to 35% and the Greens dropped to 7%. flag Te Pāti Māori remains at 1%. flag The coalition is projected to hold 67 seats versus the opposition’s 58, with Luxon leading in preferred PM rankings. flag Despite declining left-wing support, no viable alternative to current neoliberal policies has emerged.

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