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flag Polymarket accurately predicted Trump’s 2024 win with $3.6B in bets, outperforming polls.

flag Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market founded by Shayne Coplan in 2020, accurately forecasted Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential victory with $3.6 billion in wagers, outperforming traditional polls. flag The platform uses real-time betting to aggregate public wisdom on global events, now valued at $9 billion after a $2 billion investment from the NYSE’s parent company and a $10 million boost from Donald Trump Jr. flag Despite past regulatory hurdles, including a $1.4 million CFTC fine, recent policy shifts led to dropped investigations. flag With tens of millions engaging in around 10,000 active bets, Polymarket aims to reach one billion users, offering free, fee-free predictions to expand access to data-driven forecasting.

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