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India’s current account deficit is expected to shrink to 1%-1.3% of GDP in FY26, turning to surplus by Q4.
India's current account deficit is projected to narrow to 1%-1.3% of GDP in FY26, down from 1.8% in Q2 and 2.8% in Q3, before turning to surplus in Q4, according to SBI Research.
Despite global volatility, exports rose 2.9% to $220 billion from April-September, driven by growth in shipments to the U.S., UAE, and other markets, with diversification evident across Asia and Africa.
Government support of Rs 45,060 crore, including credit guarantees, aims to strengthen export competitiveness.
The overall balance of payments may show a modest $10 billion deficit, but rupee movements are seen as tied to global factors, not structural issues.
Se espera que el déficit de la cuenta corriente de la India se reduzca al 1% -1,3% del PIB en el año fiscal 26 y se convierta en superávit en el cuarto trimestre.