The Bills host the Buccaneers in a close playoff matchup, favored by 5.5 points, with a 60.8% win chance.

In Week 11, the Buffalo Bills, favored by 5.5 points, host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a key matchup between two playoff contenders. Despite the Bills’ strong home record against NFC teams and top-ranked rushing offense, the Buccaneers remain a threat, having covered the spread in six straight games after a loss and boasting a plus-8 turnover margin. Analysts predict a close game, with the Bills favored to win 30-27 but possibly failing to cover. Key factors include Buffalo’s need to contain Tampa’s run defense and the Buccaneers’ ability to slow Josh Allen and James Cook. Injuries and weather could impact play, with projections showing a 60.8% chance of a Bills victory.