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Indian bank profits to rise due to loan growth, lower costs, and falling bad loans, with full benefits expected by mid-2026.
Indian bank profitability is expected to improve in coming quarters due to stronger loan growth, lower interest expenses from deposit repricing, reduced CRR requirements, and declining credit losses, particularly in unsecured lending.
Loan growth reached 11.4% year-on-year by October 2025, boosted by a GST cut and festive demand, while deposit growth of 9.9% lagged.
Net Interest Margins may remain flat or dip slightly in early FY26 but are projected to stabilize and rise from the fourth quarter if no further rate cuts occur.
Profitability in the July-September 2025 quarter exceeded expectations, driven by higher credit expansion, lower provisions, and fee income gains.
The full benefits of deposit repricing are expected by mid-FY26, supporting margin recovery.
Las ganancias de los bancos indios aumentarán debido al crecimiento de los préstamos, los costos más bajos y la caída de los préstamos incobrables, con beneficios completos esperados para mediados de 2026.