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flag San Francisco’s zoning plan targets 36,000 homes by 2031 but may deliver far fewer, sparking debate over affordability and neighborhood impact.

flag San Francisco Mayor Daniel Lurie’s "Family Zoning Plan" aims to build 36,000 new homes by 2031 to meet state requirements, allowing taller buildings and more units in single-family and historic neighborhoods. flag A city report projects the plan would deliver only 8,504 to 14,646 new units by 2045—far short of the target—yet still could lower rents by 2.5% to 4.2% and generate significant economic benefits. flag While supporters say it’s essential to combat unaffordability and prevent displacement, critics warn it may boost luxury development, inflate land values, and harm neighborhood character. flag The plan faces strong opposition, protests, and political risk, with concerns over construction delays, high costs, and potential loss of existing homes.

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