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flag Republican candidates lead in Florida's 2026 races, with housing and vaccine mandates key issues.

flag A University of North Florida poll of 728 likely Florida voters from October 15–25 shows Republican candidates leading in key 2026 races. flag U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leads Democratic gubernatorial hopefuls David Jolly and Jerry Demings by 11 and 12 points, respectively, while First Lady Casey DeSantis leads Jolly by 13 and Demings by 11. flag In the U.S. Senate race, Ashley Moody leads Jennifer Jenkins by 11 points, and James Uthmeier leads Jose Javier Rodriguez by nine in the attorney general race. flag Housing costs top Floridians’ concerns, and a proposed property tax elimination amendment would fail, with 49% in favor. flag Most oppose ending childhood vaccine mandates, while 83% support releasing Jeffrey Epstein case files. flag The poll has a ±4.25 percentage point margin of error.

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