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China’s property market faces continued decline through 2026, with falling sales and debt restructurings, while trade tensions rise over rare earth exports.
China’s property market is projected to keep declining through 2026, with new home sales expected to drop 8% in 2025 and another 6-7% in 2026 due to weak demand and falling consumer confidence.
Developers like Cifi Holdings are restructuring billions in offshore debt, canceling old obligations, issuing new bonds, and paying cash to creditors.
Despite some progress, unsold housing inventory remains high, and market uncertainty persists.
Meanwhile, trade tensions with the U.S. are rising over China’s export controls on rare earth minerals, prompting warnings of coordinated international responses.
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El mercado inmobiliario de China se enfrenta a un declive continuo hasta 2026, con ventas en caída y reestructuraciones de la deuda, mientras que aumentan las tensiones comerciales por las exportaciones de tierras raras.