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Canada's economy grows modestly in 2025 amid U.S. tariffs, with projected 1.2% growth and potential 1.5% in 2026, as budget reforms aim for fiscal balance by 2028–29.
The global economy shows resilience despite U.S. trade tensions, with the IMF projecting 3.2% growth in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, though risks remain from protectionism and uncertainty.
Canada’s growth is forecast at 1.2% in 2025 due to U.S. tariffs on steel, aluminum, autos, and other goods, including a 35% rate on non-CECA-compliant exports, but it may still rank second among G7 economies at 1.5% in 2026.
Ongoing talks between Canadian and U.S. officials have not yielded breakthroughs.
Canada plans to release its first budget on November 4, featuring long-term investments in tax filing support, school food programs, and cultural access, alongside fiscal reforms to balance the operating budget by 2028–29 through spending cuts and separating capital and operational budgets.
La economía de Canadá crecerá modestamente en 2025 en medio de los aranceles de los Estados Unidos, con un crecimiento proyectado del 1,2% y un potencial del 1,5% en 2026, ya que las reformas presupuestarias apuntan al equilibrio fiscal para 2028 29.