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China’s 2025 growth forecast raised to 4.8%, but slowed to 4.2% in 2026 due to weakening exports and structural challenges.
The World Bank raised its 2025 growth forecast for China to 4.8% due to stronger-than-expected economic performance, but projects a slowdown to 4.2% in 2026 amid weakening exports, reduced fiscal stimulus, and structural economic challenges.
The bank also upgraded the East Asia and Pacific region’s 2025 growth outlook to 4.4%, while keeping 2026 at 4.5%, citing global trade barriers, policy uncertainty, and domestic imbalances as key risks.
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El pronóstico de crecimiento de China para 2025 se elevó al 4,8%, pero se desaceleró al 4,2% en 2026 debido al debilitamiento de las exportaciones y los desafíos estructurales.