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Pakistan’s sovereign default risk dropped 22% from June 2024 to September 2025, driven by reforms, IMF compliance, and strong credit ratings.
Pakistan has seen one of the world’s largest drops in sovereign default risk, with a 22% decline in CDS-implied probability from June 2024 to September 2025, second only to Turkiye, according to Finance Adviser Khurram Schehzad citing Bloomberg data.
The improvement, driven by macroeconomic stability, structural reforms, timely debt payments, adherence to a $7 billion IMF program, and positive credit ratings from S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s, marks the only emerging market with consistent quarterly gains.
The country’s financial markets have responded, with the KSE-100 index hitting a record high, while the government reports fiscal stability and growth in early FY2026.
El riesgo de incumplimiento soberano de Pakistán cayó un 22% desde junio de 2024 hasta septiembre de 2025, impulsado por reformas, cumplimiento del FMI y fuertes calificaciones crediticias.