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flag Reform UK leads in poll, poised to win most seats but not a majority, with Farage likely becoming PM.

flag A YouGov MRP poll projects Nigel Farage’s Reform UK could win 311 seats in a hypothetical UK general election, making it the largest party but falling short of a majority, with Farage likely becoming Prime Minister. flag Labour would slump to 144 seats—the worst result since 1931—losing most of its 2024 seats, while the Conservatives would drop to 45, their lowest ever. flag The Liberal Democrats, SNP, and Greens would gain seats, with Reform UK projected to achieve the largest seat gain in British history. flag The results, based on a 13,000-person sample, carry a margin of error, and while a coalition against Farage is possible, it is considered unlikely.

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