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Oil and gas activity in the Dallas Fed's district improved slightly in Q3 2025 but remained weak due to high costs, low prices, and uncertain outlooks.
Oil and gas activity in the Dallas Fed's Eleventh District showed a slight improvement in Q3 2025, with the business activity index rising to -6.5 from -8.1, though still negative.
Executives cited ongoing uncertainty, rising costs, and weak outlooks, with production and services activity declining.
Oilfield services weakened further, and operating margins remained deeply negative.
Costs for finding and development and lease operations stayed above historical averages.
Labor conditions were stable, with wages rising.
WTI crude price expectations were revised down to $63 by year-end 2025, with forecasts of $69 in two years and $77 in five.
Natural gas prices are expected to rise to $3.30 by year-end and $4.50 in five years.
The EIA projects crude prices to average $48 in 2026, leading to lower gasoline prices, while natural gas production is expected to grow, driven by export demand and key basins like Permian and Haynesville.
La actividad de petróleo y gas en el distrito de la Fed de Dallas mejoró ligeramente en el tercer trimestre de 2025, pero permaneció débil debido a los altos costos, los precios bajos y las perspectivas inciertas.