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flag Oil and gas activity in the Dallas Fed's district improved slightly in Q3 2025 but remained weak due to high costs, low prices, and uncertain outlooks.

flag Oil and gas activity in the Dallas Fed's Eleventh District showed a slight improvement in Q3 2025, with the business activity index rising to -6.5 from -8.1, though still negative. flag Executives cited ongoing uncertainty, rising costs, and weak outlooks, with production and services activity declining. flag Oilfield services weakened further, and operating margins remained deeply negative. flag Costs for finding and development and lease operations stayed above historical averages. flag Labor conditions were stable, with wages rising. flag WTI crude price expectations were revised down to $63 by year-end 2025, with forecasts of $69 in two years and $77 in five. flag Natural gas prices are expected to rise to $3.30 by year-end and $4.50 in five years. flag The EIA projects crude prices to average $48 in 2026, leading to lower gasoline prices, while natural gas production is expected to grow, driven by export demand and key basins like Permian and Haynesville.

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