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flag Indian AC sales to drop 10–15% in 2025–26 due to unseasonal rains, but recovery expected with lower GST and upcoming efficiency rules.

flag Indian room air conditioner sales are projected to drop 10-15% in fiscal year 2025-26 to 11.0–11.5 million units, down from a record high, due to unseasonal rains in April–July reducing heatwave days and weakening demand, particularly in North and Central India. flag A partial recovery is expected in the second half driven by warmer weather forecasts and a GST reduction from 28% to 18%, which may boost pre-buying ahead of new energy efficiency rules in January 2026. flag Long-term demand remains strong due to rising temperatures, low household penetration, urbanization, and demand for efficient models. flag The industry plans a 40–50% capacity increase over the next two years with ₹4,500–5,000 crore in investment, supported by a government PLI scheme aiming to raise domestic content in AC manufacturing to 70–75% by 2027–28.

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