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SBI Research predicts India's inflation will dip below 3%, likely prompting interest rate cuts.
SBI Research predicts India's retail inflation will fall below 3% in the first quarter of FY26, driven by a sharp decline in food prices.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) hit a 67-month low of 3.34% in March 2025.
SBI expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to cut interest rates by up to 150 basis points this fiscal year, with average inflation projected between 3.7% and 3.8%.
The bank forecasts nominal GDP growth at 9-9.5%, entering a "Goldilocks period" of stable growth with low inflation.
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SBI Research predice que la inflación de la India caerá por debajo del 3%, probablemente provocando recortes en las tasas de interés.