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flag Federal policies could slow Hawaii's economy to zero job growth and 1.6% GDP growth in 2025, forecasts show.

flag The University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization forecasts that federal policies, including potential tariffs, mass deportations, and spending cuts, could slow Hawaii's economy, leading to zero job growth and a 1.6% real GDP growth in 2025. flag The state faces an immediate risk of over 2,200 job losses from federal layoffs. flag However, construction, particularly Maui's rebuilding, may bolster employment, with an expected peak of nearly 41,000 workers in 2026.

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