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flag YouGov poll indicates Australian Coalition likely to win enough seats for Peter Dutton to become PM.

flag YouGov polling suggests the Australian Coalition, led by Peter Dutton, is likely to win 73 seats in the House of Representatives, two short of a majority, compared to Labor's projected 66 seats. flag If replicated at the federal election by May 17, Dutton could become Prime Minister, making Labor the first single-term government since 1931. flag However, Dutton faces challenges securing support from independent MPs. flag The poll indicates a potential swing to the Coalition, with their primary vote share rising to 37.4% and Labor's falling below 30%.

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