Pakistan's economy stagnates despite interest rate cuts, facing liquidity outflow and potential inflation.

Despite the State Bank of Pakistan reducing interest rates by 10% since June 2024, economic growth remains stagnant. The central bank hoped the rate cut would boost money supply and growth, but monetary expansion turned negative, with a significant liquidity outflow to the private sector and financial institutions. The government fears this could lead to inflation and a widening trade deficit. Money supply (M2) was negative by Rs973 billion from July to January 2025, compared to a positive Rs416 billion in the same period last year.

2 months ago
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