11 New York City-area Congressional districts with Republicans holding a 6-5 lead will be key in determining US House control.

The congressional districts around New York City, crucial for determining control of the U.S. House, are highly contested. Republicans currently hold a narrow 6-5 lead in 11 districts within 90 miles of Manhattan. While these districts have favored Republican candidates, they rejected Trump in 2020. The upcoming elections will hinge on voters' opinions of Trump and pressing issues like abortion, especially as crime rates have fallen since 2022.